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Saturday · May 2 · 5:40 pm ✦

WHITE SOX @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 67 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph l to r

Final

WHITE SOX 4
Padres 0

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 4–0 White Sox

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 36% 64% 2–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 42% 58% 2–3
Logistic Chicago White Sox 62% 38%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 58% 42%
Consensus San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

22–22

50% across 44 games

Padres this season

31–12

72% across 43 games