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Friday · May 1 ✦

WHITE SOX @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

WHITE SOX 8
Padres 2

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 8–2 White Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 38% 62% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 31% 69% 2–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 38% 62% 2–3
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 49% 51%
Random Forest Chicago White Sox 69% 31%
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 2–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

22–24

48% across 46 games

Padres this season

32–12

73% across 44 games