Tuesday · April 28 · 6:40 PM ✦
CUBS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 66 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph l to r
Final
CUBS
8
Padres
3
Our Pick
CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 8–3 Cubs
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Chicago Cubs | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Padres this season
97–63
61% across 160 games