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Monday · April 27 ✦

CUBS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Cubs 7
PADRES 9

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 7–9 Padres

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Padres Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Logistic San Diego Padres 37% 63% — ✓
Random Forest San Diego Padres 21% 79% — ✓
Consensus San Diego Padres 39% 61% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

77–80

49% across 157 games

Padres this season

97–63

61% across 160 games