Wednesday · April 29 · 1:10 pm ✦
CUBS @ PADRES
Petco Park. · 67 degrees, sunny, wind 13 mph l to r
Final
CUBS
5
Padres
4
Our Pick
SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 5–4 Cubs
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Padres | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Chicago Cubs | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | San Diego Padres | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | San Diego Padres | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
21–26
45% across 47 games
Padres this season
32–12
73% across 44 games