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Thursday · April 16 · 5:40 pm ✦

MARINERS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

Mariners 2
PADRES 5

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 2–5 Padres

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Padres Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 38% 62% 3–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 64% 36% 4–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 60% 40%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 27% 73%
Consensus San Diego Padres 48% 52% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Padres this season

32–12

73% across 44 games