Back to the recap

Tuesday · April 14 ✦

MARINERS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

Mariners 1
PADRES 4

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 1–4 Padres

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Padres Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Seattle Mariners 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 45% 55% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic San Diego Padres 50% 50%
Random Forest San Diego Padres 21% 79%
Consensus San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Padres this season

32–12

73% across 44 games