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Monday · March 30 · 6:40 pm ✦

GIANTS @ PADRES

Petco Park. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

GIANTS 3
Padres 2

Our Pick

SAN DIEGO PADRES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 San Diego Padres · Actual: 3–2 Giants

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 42% 58% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 47% 53% 4–3
Logistic San Francisco Giants 53% 47%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 56% 44%
Consensus San Diego Padres 49% 51% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Padres this season

33–12

73% across 45 games