Back to the recap

Tuesday · March 31 ✦

GIANTS @ PADRES

Petco Park.

Final

GIANTS 9
Padres 3

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 9–3 Giants

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Padres Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 49% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 49% 51% 4–4
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic San Diego Padres 44% 56%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 60% 40%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

29–17

63% across 46 games

Padres this season

33–12

73% across 45 games