← Back to the recap

Wednesday · September 23 · 6:41 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 63 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 12 mph in from cf

Final

CARDINALS 5
Pirates 1

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 5–1 Cardinals

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 58% 42% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 53% 47% 3–4 ✓
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games