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Tuesday · September 22 · 6:41 PM ✦

CARDINALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 60 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph in from cf

Final

Cardinals 0
PIRATES 2

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–2 Pirates

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cardinals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games