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Sunday · September 20 · 1:37 PM ✦

ROYALS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

Royals 3
PIRATES 4

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–4 Pirates

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 30% 70% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games