Saturday · September 19 · 6:40 pm ✦
ROYALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from cf
Final
Royals
5
PIRATES
6
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 5–6 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Kansas City Royals | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games