Friday · September 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
ROYALS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 77 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph calm
Final
Royals
5
PIRATES
8
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–8 Pirates
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 53% | 47% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games