Wednesday · September 16 · 6:41 PM ✦
BREWERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph calm
Final
BREWERS
5
Pirates
4
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–4 Brewers
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–67
58% across 159 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games