← Back to the recap

Tuesday · September 15 · 6:40 pm ✦

BREWERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph in from rf

Final

BREWERS 5
Pirates 1

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 5–1 Brewers

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64% 3–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 50% 50% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 31% 69% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 50% 50% 3–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games