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Thursday · September 17 · 12:37 PM ✦

BREWERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf

Final

Brewers 4
PIRATES 7

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–7 Pirates

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 50% 50% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games