← Back to the recap

Saturday · September 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

ANGELS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 80 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph out to cf

Final

ANGELS 6
Pirates 1

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 6–1 Angels

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% — ✗
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games