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Thursday · September 3 · 12:37 PM ✦

GIANTS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 77 degrees, cloudy, wind 7 mph in from cf

Final

Giants 2
PIRATES 5

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 2–5 Pirates

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Pirates Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 56% 44% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 53% 47% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Logistic San Francisco Giants 54% 46% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 38% 62% — ✓
Consensus San Francisco Giants 52% 48% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games