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Friday · September 4 · 6:45 pm ✦

ANGELS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph out to cf

Final

Angels 0
PIRATES 1

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–1 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Angels 51% 49% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Angels 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 51% 49% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 43% 57% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 3–3 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

88–66

57% across 154 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games