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Wednesday · September 2 · 6:40 pm ✦

GIANTS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 93 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

GIANTS 5
Pirates 4

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–4 Giants

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% 3–5 ✗
Logistic San Francisco Giants 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 41% 59% 3–4 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games