Tuesday · August 18 · 6:40 pm ✦
TIGERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Tigers
1
PIRATES
4
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✗ WrongProjected: 5–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 1–4 Pirates
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 65% | 35% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 58% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 57% | 43% | 5–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games