Wednesday · August 19 · 12:37 PM ✦
TIGERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf
Final
Tigers
3
PIRATES
4
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–4 Pirates
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Detroit Tigers | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
75–45
62% across 120 games
Pirates this season
67–56
54% across 123 games