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Wednesday · August 19 · 12:37 PM ✦

TIGERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 75 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

Tigers 3
PIRATES 4

Our Pick

DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 3–4 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Detroit Tigers 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 4–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 43% 57%
Random Forest Detroit Tigers 60% 40%
Consensus Detroit Tigers 51% 49% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

75–45

62% across 120 games

Pirates this season

67–56

54% across 123 games