Monday · August 17 · 7:05 pm ✦
TIGERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 75 degrees, overcast, wind 6 mph out to rf
Final
TIGERS
8
Pirates
5
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS
✓ CorrectProjected: 5–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 8–5 Tigers
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 62% | 38% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 65% | 35% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 5–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games