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Sunday · August 16 · 1:37 PM ✦

RED SOX @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, overcast, wind 10 mph out to cf

Final

Red Sox 3
PIRATES 8

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–8 Pirates

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64% 3–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 39% 61%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

66–56

54% across 122 games

Pirates this season

67–56

54% across 123 games