Friday · August 14 · 6:40 pm ✦
RED SOX @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Red Sox
4
PIRATES
8
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–8 Pirates
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 55% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31% | 69% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
66–57
54% across 123 games
Pirates this season
68–56
55% across 124 games