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Saturday · August 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

Mets 0
PIRATES 9

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 0–9 Pirates

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Pirates Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Mets 60% 40% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 4–5
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 38% 62%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games