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Friday · August 7 · 6:40 pm ✦

METS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

METS 6
Pirates 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK METS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 New York Mets · Actual: 6–4 Mets

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mets Pirates Projected Result
Baseline New York Mets 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Mets 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic New York Mets 51% 49%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 30% 70%
Consensus New York Mets 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mets this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games