Tuesday · July 28 · 6:40 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph l to r
Final
D-BACKS
8
Pirates
7
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 8–7 D-backs
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 35% | 65% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games