Wednesday · July 29 · 12:36 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 73 degrees, cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf
Final
D-BACKS
3
Pirates
0
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–0 D-backs
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Arizona Diamondbacks | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games