Friday · July 24 · 6:40 pm ✦
CUBS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
CUBS
3
Pirates
2
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–2 Cubs
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games