Monday · July 27 · 6:40 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 83 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf
Final
D-backs
2
PIRATES
3
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 2–3 Pirates
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 69% | 31% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games