Back to the recap

Sunday · July 26 · 1:39 PM ✦

CUBS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to lf

Final

Cubs 7
PIRATES 8

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 7–8 Pirates

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 4–5
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 4–4
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 4–4
All 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

60–63

49% across 123 games

Pirates this season

68–56

55% across 124 games