Saturday · July 25 · 6:40 pm ✦
CUBS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 80 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to lf
Final
CUBS
11
Pirates
0
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 11–0 Cubs
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Cubs | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago Cubs | 62% | 38% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Chicago Cubs | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Cubs this season
77–80
49% across 157 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games