Saturday · July 11 · 4:17 PM ✦
BREWERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Brewers
2
PIRATES
3
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 2–3 Pirates
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 62% | 38% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 4–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Milwaukee Brewers | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
92–68
57% across 160 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games