Sunday · July 12 · 12:18 PM ✦
BREWERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 81 degrees, sunny, wind 5 mph l to r
Final
Brewers
5
PIRATES
14
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–14 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Brewers | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Milwaukee Brewers | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Milwaukee Brewers | 56% | 44% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Brewers this season
71–53
57% across 124 games
Pirates this season
69–56
55% across 125 games