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Sunday · July 12 · 12:18 PM ✦

BREWERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, sunny, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

Brewers 5
PIRATES 14

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–14 Pirates

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 40% 60% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% — ✓
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% 3–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–68

57% across 160 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games