Thursday · July 9 · 12:37 PM ✦
BRAVES @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 7 mph out to lf
Final
BRAVES
10
Pirates
5
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 10–5 Braves
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 5–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 54% | 46% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 50% | 50% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games