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Wednesday · July 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf

Final

BRAVES 3
Pirates 0

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–0 Braves

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–5
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 51% 49% 4–3
Logistic Atlanta Braves 54% 46%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 43% 57%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% 4–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

64–61

51% across 125 games

Pirates this season

69–56

55% across 125 games