Back to the recap

Tuesday · July 7 · 6:40 pm ✦

BRAVES @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to rf

Final

Braves 4
PIRATES 12

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–12 Pirates

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 4–5
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Atlanta Braves 55% 45%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 46% 54% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

45–40

53% across 85 games

Pirates this season

45–40

53% across 85 games