Sunday · June 28 · 1:38 PM ✦
REDS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from cf
Final
Reds
4
PIRATES
9
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–9 Pirates
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 32% | 68% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
48–36
57% across 84 games
Pirates this season
45–40
53% across 85 games