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Friday · June 26 · 6:40 pm ✦

REDS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf

Final

REDS 6
Pirates 4

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 6–4 Reds

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 62% 38% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 60% 40% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 49% 51%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 52% 48% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

48–36

57% across 84 games

Pirates this season

45–40

53% across 85 games