Friday · June 26 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to cf
Final
REDS
6
Pirates
4
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 6–4 Reds
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games