Saturday · June 27 · 4:41 PM ✦
REDS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 73 degrees, overcast, wind 5 mph in from rf
Final
REDS
9
Pirates
7
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 9–7 Reds
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 46% | 54% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
82–73
53% across 155 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games