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Saturday · June 27 · 4:41 PM ✦

REDS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 73 degrees, overcast, wind 5 mph in from rf

Final

REDS 9
Pirates 7

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 9–7 Reds

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 39% 61%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 46% 54% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

48–36

57% across 84 games

Pirates this season

45–40

53% across 85 games