Tuesday · June 23 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARINERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 73 degrees, clear, wind 11 mph calm
Final
MARINERS
3
Pirates
2
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 3–2 Mariners
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
55–30
65% across 85 games
Pirates this season
45–41
52% across 86 games