Thursday · June 25 · 12:37 PM ✦
MARINERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 75 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph out to lf
Final
Mariners
1
PIRATES
5
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 1–5 Pirates
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
54–30
64% across 84 games
Pirates this season
45–40
53% across 85 games