Wednesday · June 24 · 6:40 pm ✦
MARINERS @ PIRATES
PNC Park. · 78 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph out to cf
Final
Mariners
1
PIRATES
11
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 1–11 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Pirates | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games