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Sunday · June 14 · 12:18 PM ✦

MARLINS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 75 degrees, overcast, wind 13 mph out to lf

Final

MARLINS 4
Pirates 2

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 4–2 Marlins

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% — ✗
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

81–74

52% across 155 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games