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Friday · June 12 · 6:40 pm ✦

MARLINS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

MARLINS 8
Pirates 3

Our Pick

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–5 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 8–3 Marlins

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Marlins Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Pittsburgh Pirates 45% 55% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 33% 67% 3–5
Platoon-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 27% 73% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Pittsburgh Pirates 25% 75% 2–5
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 37% 63%
Consensus Pittsburgh Pirates 37% 63% 3–5
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Marlins this season

46–40

53% across 86 games

Pirates this season

45–41

52% across 86 games