← Back to the recap

Thursday · June 11 · 6:40 pm ✦

DODGERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 72 degrees, overcast, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

DODGERS 8
Pirates 6

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 5–4 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 8–6 Dodgers

61%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 64% 36% 5–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 73% 27% 5–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 64% 36% 5–4 ✓
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% — ✗
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 61% 39% 5–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–59

63% across 159 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games