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Wednesday · June 10 · 6:40 pm ✦

DODGERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

Dodgers 8
PIRATES 9

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 8–9 Pirates

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 73% 27% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 67% 33% 5–4
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47%
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52%
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

53–33

62% across 86 games

Pirates this season

45–41

52% across 86 games