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Wednesday · June 10 · 6:40 pm ✦

DODGERS @ PIRATES

PNC Park. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to lf

Final

Dodgers 8
PIRATES 9

Our Pick

LOS ANGELES DODGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers · Actual: 8–9 Pirates

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Dodgers Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Los Angeles Dodgers 73% 27% 5–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 58% 42% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Dodgers 67% 33% 5–4 ✗
Logistic Los Angeles Dodgers 53% 47% — ✗
Random Forest Pittsburgh Pirates 48% 52% — ✓
Consensus Los Angeles Dodgers 60% 40% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Dodgers this season

100–59

63% across 159 games

Pirates this season

85–70

55% across 155 games