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Wednesday · May 27 ✦

CUBS @ PIRATES

PNC Park.

Final

CUBS 10
Pirates 4

Our Pick

CHICAGO CUBS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Chicago Cubs · Actual: 10–4 Cubs

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Pirates Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 58% 42% 3–3
Logistic Pittsburgh Pirates 38% 62%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 60% 40%
Consensus Chicago Cubs 51% 49% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

40–47

46% across 87 games

Pirates this season

46–41

53% across 87 games